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The year was 2020. Paul Kesserwani’s then-girlfriend (now wife) left their home in San Francisco to be near her family in San Diego. Kesserwani wanted to help her furnish her apartment, but was strapped for cash — he was saving for a ring — so he, for the first time, turned to buy now, pay later.

He financed a mattress through Klarna, a Ring doorbell through Affirm, and a slew of household items through other BNPL providers.

“After three purchases, I was like, ‘I have a computer engineering degree and I have a team of PhDs and I can’t for the life of me stay on top of these freaking payments,’” he said. “This is so confusing.”

At the time, Kesserwani was running Cushion, a fintech that had offered automated overdraft fee negotiation since 2016. The venture was successful, refunding millions in overdraft fees up until that point.

Following his first foray into BNPL customership, Kesserwani and his team dove into Cushion’s customer data and found out that customers were leaning heavily on BNPL, not just for large, one-time purchases but to finance DoorDash meals, Uber rides and grocery lists.

“[We] realized this was about to get so urgent, and no one was paying attention,” he said of customers’ short-sighted BNPL habits. “So we dropped our thriving first business … and decided to go all-in on bill pay for the BNPL era.”

The average BNPL customer has four concurrent BNPL loans, according to Bankrate. And, according to data released by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York this week, many BNPL customers are “financially fragile” – meaning if they had to come up with $2,000 in the next month, they couldn’t do it.

BNPL is a tool used across financial profiles, at least to a point: 14.6% of those surveyed by the Fed with an annual income above $150,000 used BNPL; and 11.6% of people with a credit score above 760 used it.

BNPL take-up rates, however, are notably higher with those whose credit scores are 620 or lower, for those who have been 30 or more days delinquent on a loan in the past year, and for those who have been recently rejected for a credit card. BNPL use goes down, too, when looking at higher income brackets; and when looking at higher levels of education, Fed data shows.

According to Bankrate, more than half of BNPL customers surveyed report having fallen behind on payments.

Switching focus

When Kesserwani and his team had their revelation about BNPL, what Cushion had been focusing on was fighting with banks, rather than addressing the root cause of why their customers were overdrafting in the first place.

By digging through “hundreds of millions of customer transactions,” it became clear what the root cause was: cash flow, or lack thereof. And it became clear that, in the last 20 years, the landscape of consumer bill pay had completely changed.

“Twenty years ago, you had your car payment, your rent, your credit card, and your phone bill, and it was straightforward. Then in the 2010s, subscriptions became a big thing, so now you had to factor in your Netflix, Hulu, Tinder … and that’s another five to eight payments you need to make each month,” Kesserwani said.

And in the last three to four years, he noted, the shift was in BNPL: adoptions of the tool completely exploded.

“BNPL is unique in the sense that it’s not just a payment you make. It’s a loan with a bunch of characteristics: paying four versus paying six versus paying 12 [installments]; this one has interest, that one doesn’t; this is due weekly, that’s due monthly. Stacking just two or three BNPL loans by themselves is unmanageable, let alone putting that on top of the tower of subscriptions and other bills,” he said.

“As [bill pay] is getting more complicated, consumers are making more mistakes,” he said. “[We decided to] focus on consumer bill pay — and in that, let’s really focus on a solution for this BNPL era.”

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